The research and development of electric vehicle in China and in the world is at the same starting line with comparatively small difference in technology level and industrialization. In the “Tenth Five-year Plan”, in the consideration of maintaining Chinese energy safety, improving atmosphere environment, increasing vehicle industry competitive strength and realizing great-leap-forward development of Chinese industry, China has established “electric vehicle significant technological specialty” to unite to attack key problems by combining strength of enterprises, universities and colleges, research institutes, etc. Investment related to this field in National (863) Plan reached to 0.88 billion RMB. After 4 years of implementation and through the effort of more than 2000 technicists from more than 200 enterprises, universities and colleges and research institutes, the “electric vehicle significant technological specialty” of China has achieved great progress. For example, fuel cell vehicle has already successfully developed performance prototype, fuel cell car accumulated to drive for 4000km and fuel battery coach accumulated to run for 8000km; hybrid Vehicle is been tested in bus line of Wuhan, etc. and runs more than 140,000 km; pure electric autos and pure electric coaches have been already passed related certification tests of the country.
At present, China focuses on the research and development of hybrid electric vehicle. There are mainly three types of hybrid electric vehicle according to the mode of energy synthesis, namely, series connected type, parallel connected type and composite type. Recently, all large auto groups in China are doing Hybrid Electric Vehicle research, which are mainly hybrid electric bus research. The direction of this kind of research and development is in accordance with Chinese national situation, being conducive to the research and development of Chinese electric vehicle. The technology of electric vehicle has been further improved in 2007 and several large auto groups in the country will center on self innovation. For pure electric vehicle, Xiali and Shen Long - Fu Kang have new move and it is hopeful to realize mass production of fuel autos in Shanghai. Due to the green and environmental protection concept of 2008 Olympic Games and Expo 2010 Shanghai China, electric vehicle industry will have mass production in 2007 in China by the mode of government procurement.
According to the requirements of the development plan of Chinese auto industry, the development object of Chinese electric vehicle is: to 2010, electric vehicle inventory will account for 5%-10% of auto inventory and annual production and sales of electric vehicle will reach more than 1.5 million; to 2030, electric vehicle inventory will account for more than 50% of auto inventory and annual production and sales of electric vehicle will reach more than 10-19.5 million. Analyst of our institute predicts that the electric vehicle industry will be more and more competitive in the world in 2008-2010. Auto production great power such as America, Japan and Europe, etc. will strengthen the ability of self research as well as production and sales and will lead the world in the aspect of electric vehicle technology. The largest three groups in China and relevant enterprises will continue to undertake the responsibility of most research projects, which is an industry specialty supported by the country. Chinese electric vehicle in 2007-2008 will continue to be top in the world. Privately operated enterprises will further enlarge export during the marketization attempt. For example, Shandong Jindalu Vehicle Co., Ltd and BYD, etc. have great market prospect. Besides, fairly part of privately operated enterprises will join in the group. The family of hydrogen driven motor vehicles is gradually enlarging in Shanghai and it is hopeful that a hydrogen fuel battery bus demonstration line will constructed in Shanghai and 6 hydrogen driven buses will run in some fixed line in Shanghai. This project will invite public bidding towards international fuel cell vehicle manufacturers. What is more, the first hydrogen station located at Shanghai Jiading international auto city is under construction. According to the research plan of Shanghai fuel cell vehicle, 100 fuel cell vehicles will be mass produced in 2008 which includes 90 fuel cell cars and 10 fuel cell buses and a demonstration vehicle team will form in the Shanghai. To 2009, the production scale will reach 1000 and the products will be put into taxi and bus industry; about 2011-2012, annual output of fuel battery cars will reach ten thousand and gradually put into normal autos.
This report describes thoroughly the operation environment of China’s Electric Vehicle industry, primarily studies and predicts the long-term and short-term trend of the development and demand change of downstream industry. Aim at the opportunity and threat which the current industry faces, put forward the investment and stratagem advices of the development of Electric Vehicle industry. This report helps the Electric Vehicle industry exactly grasp the development tendency; correctly formulate the enterprise’s competition stratagem and investment stratagem. Our main sources are in National Bureau of Statistics of China, State Information Center, China Customs, Electric Machinery Association and other authoritative specialty institute and the practical research and study of our center. This report conforms the data resources and expert resources of lots of authoritative institutes, abstracts the precise and appropriate and valuable advices from lots of data, combines the environment which the industry locates, researches and analyzes many points of view from theory to practice and from macroscopic view to microcosmic view and the conclusion and viewpoint strives to reach the unification of prophecy, practicability and feasibility. It is an elaborate report by the expert group for taking one year of time through the market research and data collection. It is one of the important decision-making basis for the relative investment company and government department exactly grasping the industry development trend and discerning the competition pattern in the industry, evading the operation and investment risk, working out the correct competition and investment risk, working out the correct competition and investment stratagem decision, has the important reference value. |